Purpose of This Disclosure
This Risk Disclosure explains material risks associated with using Marbleland decision-intelligence, market-data, AI, automation, blockchain, creator and related software. It is not exhaustive. Risks can interact and may change quickly.
No Guaranteed Outcome
Marbleland does not guarantee business success, investment returns, market accuracy, creator performance, product-market fit, capital availability, successful execution or any other outcome. A favorable signal or recommendation can still lead to loss or failure.
AI and Model Risk
AI and statistical systems can hallucinate, misclassify, overfit, omit context, reproduce errors in source data or behave differently under changed conditions. Model confidence does not necessarily equal real-world probability.
Material decisions should be reviewed against primary sources, current data and qualified professional judgment.
Data Quality, Freshness and Coverage Risk
External information can be stale, delayed, missing, duplicated, incorrectly mapped or revised after display. A data feed may stop without notice. A market or creator metric may have limited coverage and may not represent the broader population.
Prediction-Market Risk
Prediction-market prices and probabilities reflect market participants, liquidity, rules and venue conditions; they are not objective truth. Thin liquidity, fees, incentives, market wording, resolution rules, manipulation attempts or venue outages can distort interpretation.
Market and Investment Risk
Financial markets, digital assets and businesses can lose value rapidly. Volatility, liquidity constraints, leverage, correlation changes, macroeconomic events and market structure can cause losses beyond modeled expectations.
Blockchain and Smart-Contract Risk
Blockchain transactions may be irreversible. Smart contracts can contain vulnerabilities, governance risks, oracle failures, upgrade risk or unexpected behavior. Network congestion, forks, validator issues, RPC failures or wallet software can affect execution.
Wallet and Key Security Risk
Loss or compromise of private keys, seed phrases, credentials or signing devices can cause permanent loss. Marbleland support should never be treated as a substitute for wallet security procedures.
Automation and Execution Risk
Automated workflows can act on stale inputs, incorrect configurations, misunderstood permissions or unexpected third-party behavior. Before enabling automation, users should define limits, approval thresholds, stop conditions and monitoring procedures appropriate to the consequence of failure.
Third-Party and Integration Risk
Marbleland may depend on external APIs, market venues, social platforms, data vendors, payment providers, infrastructure and other services. Their outages, rate limits, policy changes, pricing, security incidents or inaccurate data can affect Marbleland.
Creator and Distribution Risk
Creator reach, engagement and audience quality can change quickly. Social metrics may be inflated, botted or context-dependent. A creator with high measured reach may not produce conversion, retention or sustainable demand.
Business Validation Risk
Market-validation signals are evidence, not proof. Surveys, simulations, prediction markets, early usage and community interest can fail to translate into durable revenue or adoption.
Capital and Portfolio Risk
Future capital-intelligence features may rank or organize opportunities but cannot eliminate concentration, liquidity, counterparty, valuation, timing or financing risk. Users should apply independent portfolio and capital controls.
Regulatory and Legal Risk
Laws affecting AI, financial services, prediction markets, digital assets, privacy, payments, marketing and automated decision systems vary by jurisdiction and can change. A feature available technically may not be lawful or appropriate for every user or location.
Cybersecurity Risk
Software and infrastructure can be targeted by phishing, credential theft, malware, denial-of-service attacks, supply-chain compromise and other threats. No security program eliminates all risk.
Operational and Availability Risk
Features can be unavailable, degraded or changed. Maintenance, deployment errors, capacity constraints, provider outages or network failures may interrupt access or execution.
Scenario and Simulation Limitations
Scenario tools depend on assumptions. They may exclude tail events, reflexivity, nonlinear effects, changes in market structure or unknown dependencies. Simulations are not forecasts or guarantees.
User Responsibility and Risk Controls
You are responsible for deciding whether a feature is appropriate for your objectives and risk tolerance. Appropriate controls may include independent verification, position or budget limits, manual approval, diversification, monitoring, staged rollout and contingency planning.
No Professional Relationship
Use of Marbleland does not create a broker-client, adviser-client, attorney-client, accountant-client, fiduciary or other professional relationship unless expressly established in a separate written agreement.
Questions About Risk
Questions about this disclosure may be sent to legal@marbleland.io. Product and technical questions may be sent to support@marbleland.io.